Tuesday, 4 August 2015

19. FINISH / RE-START

Aug 9:

We have completed Finals week 1 for all divs except for Div 4 who have 1 week to play. We have also sorted out our Cup Quarter Finalists, and had the start of the Lightning Premiership as well.

And in all of those contests, its been a super huge weekend of results. 

In the Cup, we already had the bombshell of a fail to tip that gifted a walkover win.
RMHOME AWAYA_OKBaraSCORERESA_OKBara
19
1(+) West Coast v Hawthorn (-)Hawt-297488Hawt-14
RESULT
30
2(+) GWS v Essendon (-)GWS169361GWS32
3(+) St Kilda v Fremantle (-)Frem-405996Frem-37A_OK wins
Even then A_OK booted home the result with a bonus point on the Freo score.

In the other Cup game, it went to 'nearest the pin' after The Guru scored another bonus point tip on Freo. 
RMHOME AWAYTheTSJHRSCORERESTheTSJHR
19
1(+) West Coast v Hawthorn (-)West34Hawt-207488Hawt-14
RESULT
22
2(+) GWS v Essendon (-)GWS23GWS409361GWS326031
3(+) St Kilda v Fremantle (-)Frem-34Frem-205996Frem-37SJHR wins
Sean wins this Cup tie by overall closeness of the tipped margins.

Confirmation:
19
@A_OKeefe3
@BarassiLine0
19
@TheTipsGuru260
@SJHRoss231

The Cup quarter finalists are also known, and listed below. A draw will be held to determine the matchups during the next day or two.
@Carlo_Monty_AFL
@MarkDuffett
@Swishtter
@Footy_Maths
@SmokieDawson
@DemP_9
@A_OKeefe
@SJHRoss
Thats 3 from D3 and D1 and 2 from D2 progressing.



Over in the League play the weeks results were
MHOMEAWAYHARESULT
19
1(+) Adelaide - Richmond (-)8852Adelaid36
2(+) Collingwood - Carlton (-)10587Colling18
3(+) Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast (-)100114Gold Co-14
4(+) Geelong - Sydney/SMFC (-)9563Geelong32
5(+) Melbourne - North Melbourne (-)92127North M-35


And its getting exciting in Div 4 as they have one game to play before they battle in finals.
@DrMubutu2-5@tjmillar1
@Diogenesbrown3-2@RankingSW
@Harri_Chas_174-2@FootyForecaster
And the big surprise is that the previously undefeated FF has been done over by the last placed Harri. All 6 points in that game were from tipping inside the bonus window. This gives hope to all in D4 that the title race is now back on.
Harri also scores the belt as well.
TJ also scored some bonuses, and shared one with the Doc.

DIVISION 4
PLAYERPWDLFASDPTS
1@FootyForecaster971130121830
2@tjmillar195222520524
3@Diogenesbrown93241926-716
4@Harri_Chas_1792342225-314
5@DrMubutu92341626-1014
6@RankingSW92162225-310
So with one to play, FF and TJ are both secure in finals spots, and both meet next week.
This makes the Harri vs RankSW and DB vs Doc head to heads as must win matches.
If the Doc and Harri win, DB misses out. DB needs RankSW to win if he loses.


Over to the finals:
In Div 1 we had two top games played out.
QUALIFYING
@A_OKeefe4-3@Clinton_V8
A_OK backs up a cup win with booking himself into a shot at the grand final. For Clinton, his exact on North was too little too late. Clinton survives to play the winner of...

ELIMINATION
@MarkDuffett3-4@Footy_Maths
FMI got the first 3 right including a bonus, and Mark got the 4th. An exact meant it would be tied, and it almost happened. Mark picked North by 36, missing the exact by 1. 
Mark's season is over... I think thats three finals campaigns in 3 years. FMI moves on to play Clinton next week.


Div 2 gave us even more tension.
QUALIFYING
@SJHRoss3-3@LucasGarth
The 3-all tie above came from Sean getting an early bonus and Lucas scoring a last leg bonus to tie it all up. We now look at the total distance from the pin (sum of difference between actual and tipped margins), and this has Sean on 270 and Lucas on 229, making Lucas the winner.
Sean plays next week against the winner of...

ELIMINATION
@Carlo_Monty_AFL3-2@TheTipsGuru
Carlo gets the nod here in another close game. Both players picked up singles in each of the games, with Carlo just close enough when it mattered. The Guru is done,and Carlo moves to next week.


Div 3 again brought close games
QUALIFYING
@ASpeedingCar 2-3@Andrewm_81
The Car gets done but the double chance helps him on to play next week. Both players got a bonus window tip, but AndyM picked up another point being closer on the Pies tip to split the difference.

ELIMINATION
@MatterOfStats1-2@DemP_9
Dem gets the win and will play the Car next week in a Tiger fan duel.
In a shock, pre-season favourite (and mathematical tipping model guru) MoS is eliminated at the first attempt, collecting only 1 point.


Finally, the Lightning Premiership games (darker grey shade) yielded these HUGE results. Also included is the ladder leader players on bye (lighter grey shade).
@TheHolyBoot5-4@Wal13Freo
@BarassiLine6-2@Amul82
@SgtButane5-5@MattSlutzkin
@Ethan_Meldrum5-3@Kevs_View
@LaurenceRosen4-5@Supermercado99
@AndrewGigacz2-7@J_Foreigner
@SmokieDawson3-7@Ichymochek
@Go_Saintz33-3@RudiEdsall
@ArmchairFooty4-4@AFLTheory
@Hcdc936-3@Swishtter

Massive 7's by Ichy and J_F, and 6's to Henry and Barass.

Lightning Premiership table is (sorted by points, then MAE):
LIGHTNING PREMIERSHIP
STANDINGS
PLAYERPTSMAE
1@J_Foreigner712.8
2@Ichymochek717.8
3@Hcdc93626.4
4@BarassiLine627.6
5@Supermercado99515.0
6@SgtButane518.6
7@MattSlutzkin525.4
8@Wal13Freo418.4
9@AFLTheory422.8
10@LaurenceRosen424.0
11@ArmchairFooty425.4
11@RudiEdsall327.6
12@Swishtter329.6
13@Kevs_View330.0
14@Go_Saintz3333.4
15@Amul82226.0
16@AndrewGigacz230.8
 

Aug 8:

Sorry for delay - a few issues in modifying the spreadsheet for finals and Lightning Premiership. That coupled with family things and getting the FMICL season started... yeah you don't want to know!

Tips entered as below.
Active players remain in white or division colour. Lightning Premiership players in grey.
HOMEAWAYA_OKClinMarkFootTheHWal1BaraAmulSgtBMatt
AdelaidRichmon-15-15-1161121-18-83-6
CollingCarlton16154630291740-323166
BrisbanGold Co-12-25-20-11-1510-14-25-4-16
GeelongSydney/-40-2514-1-17-12-28926
MelbourNorth M-38-35-36-37-16-43-3315-28-26

HOMEAWAYSJHRLucaCarlTheTEthaKevsLaurSupeAndrJ_Fo
AdelaidRichmon-60-12-923-26-14-49-2514
CollingCarlton2025313153032313528
BrisbanGold Co-2011-8-34-30-20-15-215-7
GeelongSydney/-20150-312-40-1912-157
MelbourNorth M-40-38-10-23-30-25-21-43-25-35

HOMEAWAYASpeAndrMattDemPSmokIchyGo_SRudiArmcAFLTHcdcSwis
AdelaidRichmon-21-18-28-22-156-31-11-810-19-13
CollingCarlton322642302417512327252525
BrisbanGold Co-22-11-31-19-25-15-24-47-34-35-15-37
GeelongSydney/-21-22-28-20-14-23-16-17312-37-21
MelbourNorth M-32-43-39-44-19-37-44-31-465-35-19

HOMEAWAYDrMutjmiDiogRankHarrFoot
AdelaidRichmon-28-15-1615-11-9
CollingCarlton472022261631
BrisbanGold Co-15-13-610-7-17
GeelongSydney/-39-12-1412143
MelbourNorth M12-27-25-18-31-29


Also, the Cup tips are like this, and its an interesting pair of games.
RMHOME AWAYTheTSJHR
19
1(+) West Coastv Hawthorn(-)West34Hawt-20
2(+) GWSv Essendon(-)GWS23GWS40
3(+) St Kildav Fremantle(-)Frem-34Frem-20

and... in a shock for the last game of the Round of 16...
RMHOME AWAYA_OKBara
19
1(+) West Coastv Hawthorn(-)Hawt-29
2(+) GWSv Essendon(-)GWS16
3(+) St Kildav Fremantle(-)Frem-40

BarrasiLine failed to submit tips. He did in the regular competition, but missed the Cup. Ateempts were made to contact both Baras account and DavPope account, but nothing came back.
There has also been no tweet activity since Aug 3... hope your OK Dave!!!


Aug 4:

OK folks we are into Finals time to Divs 1 to 3, and also a continuing season for Div 4.
Further I still want all your tips for the side competitions...
PLUS...

Its also time for the Peter Landy 'Each Of Two' Repechage Lighting Premiership.
Now, the Lightning Premiership is really simple. Its your tips and margins as usual. But instead of the head-to-head factor, its one in all in.
So if you get the tip right - 1 point. If you get in the bonus window (or exact) you get those points too.
Highest score over rounds 19 to 23 wins.
And its only for non-finals-qualified players.

Easy.
See... you do still need to tip, and you can still win... stuff.

Right, so we are tipping these games.
MHOMEAWAY
19
1(+) Adelaide- Richmond(-)
2(+) Collingwood- Carlton(-)
3(+) Brisbane Lions- Gold Coast(-)
4(+) Geelong- Sydney/SMFC(-)
5(+) Melbourne- North Melbourne(-)

Enter your tips via the linkoid.


And the finals match-ups are:
QUALIFYING
@A_OKeefe-@Clinton_V8
ELIMINATION
@MarkDuffett-@Footy_Maths

QUALIFYING
@SJHRoss-@LucasGarth
ELIMINATION
@Carlo_Monty_AFL-@TheTipsGuru

QUALIFYING
@ASpeedingCar -@Andrewm_81
ELIMINATION
@MatterOfStats-@DemP_9



We also have the last two games of the Round of 16 to play between:
19
@A_OKeefe
@BarassiLine
19
@TheTipsGuru
@SJHRoss


These are the games to play.
RMHOME AWAY
19
1(+) West Coastv Hawthorn(-)
2(+) GWSv Essendon(-)
3(+) St Kildav Fremantle(-)

Tips also thru the link.

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